2015 BMR Syndicate Research Report 457

Macroeconomic and retail trade sales forecast for South Africa, 2015 by C.J. van Aardt, D.H. Tustin and J.A. van Tonder (2015)

This report has presented forecasts for formal retail sales in South Africa based on annual research conducted for more than 25 years.  The 2015 forecast presented in this report also includes the results derived from a probabilistic macroeconomic forecasting model. As in 2014, the 2015 report includes innovative analyses featuring seasonal trend analysis and breakdowns of retail trade sales patterns according to outlet type. These additions are largely complementary to the traditional BMR forecast that mainly featured a forecast by product group and retail prices.